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CBO 2025 January baseline update #2874

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merged 19 commits into from
Mar 10, 2025
Merged

CBO 2025 January baseline update #2874

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eba3cc7
Merge pull request #57 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Nov 18, 2024
4f6b2c3
Merge pull request #60 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Nov 21, 2024
d33beeb
Merge pull request #61 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Nov 26, 2024
1d5211c
Merge pull request #63 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Dec 3, 2024
59df59e
Merge pull request #64 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Dec 19, 2024
e96a6cd
Merge pull request #65 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Feb 1, 2025
fd0f8a4
Merge pull request #66 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Feb 13, 2025
ebc5007
update growfactors puf weights and ratio files
Feb 21, 2025
931a43a
update last budget year
Feb 21, 2025
add36ae
update cps file
Feb 21, 2025
20f696c
update year
Feb 21, 2025
87a32c5
fix tests
Feb 24, 2025
8a4f669
update policy current law file
Feb 24, 2025
84f495b
pass tests
Feb 24, 2025
01720ba
update test
Feb 24, 2025
b8bd68d
Merge pull request #67 from PSLmodels/master
bodiyang Feb 28, 2025
056f857
update last known year
Feb 28, 2025
c508152
update ext.json file
Feb 28, 2025
bdb39d8
update tests
Feb 28, 2025
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion taxcalc/consumption.json
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
"validators": {
"range": {
"min": 2013,
"max": 2034
"max": 2035
}
}
},
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Binary file modified taxcalc/cps_weights.csv.gz
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion taxcalc/growdiff.json
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -6,7 +6,7 @@
"validators": {
"range": {
"min": 2013,
"max": 2034
"max": 2035
}
}
},
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51 changes: 26 additions & 25 deletions taxcalc/growfactors.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,25 +1,26 @@
YEAR,ATXPY,ASCHF,ABOOK,ACPIU,ACPIM,AWAGE,ASCHCI,ASCHCL,ASCHEI,ASCHEL,AINTS,ADIVS,ACGNS,ASOCSEC,AUCOMP,AIPD,ABENOTHER,ABENMCARE,ABENMCAID,ABENSSI,ABENSNAP,ABENWIC,ABENHOUSING,ABENTANF,ABENVET
2011,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2012,1.043862,0.950283,1.104992,1.0209,1.0365,1.032649,1.049023,0.956138,1.165922,0.926962,0.923588,1.327776,1.58966,1.02827,0.7711,0.9231,0.992359,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2013,1.012518,1.142179,1.033784,1.014791,1.024602,1.019984,0.99505,1.050098,0.997245,1.013128,0.893658,0.819381,0.776217,1.014786,0.728829,0.896219,0.992515,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2014,1.029476,0.931683,0.976566,1.015927,1.023917,1.039999,1.040616,1.030349,1.075978,0.991321,0.925886,1.17606,1.387522,1.004801,0.641103,0.970506,0.99257,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2015,1.043858,0.508206,0.999544,1.001235,1.026485,1.024119,1.038052,1.040061,1.04481,1.057257,1.013311,1.013846,1.004308,1.017188,0.81793,0.988666,1.053858,1.023325,1.041528,1.019361,1.102667,1.007792,1.026748,1.132657,1.04693
2016,1.021978,1.071198,0.984833,1.012621,1.037807,1.006659,0.984484,1.005593,0.982695,0.983807,0.999649,0.968237,0.881651,0.991403,0.933831,1.001764,1.097065,1.011695,1.010367,0.993375,0.989722,1.002577,1.01625,0.828168,1.105413
2017,1.049373,0.907035,1.018491,1.021273,1.025035,1.040577,1.060677,1.132498,1.093477,1.160123,1.088642,1.102389,1.344721,1.00723,0.94186,1.029301,1.011911,1.030968,1.014601,0.981621,1,0.998715,1.063959,1,1
2018,1.042394,0.976786,1.074059,1.0245,1.019707,1.041821,1.042769,1.042713,1.074048,1.074033,1.031272,1.076804,1.074755,1.018778,0.92284,1.050825,1.103035,1.045097,1.045897,1.005738,1,1.002574,1.034828,1,1
2019,1.032351,0.979401,1.019085,1.017913,1.028328,1.039292,1.004274,1.004387,1.019131,1.019122,1.014806,1.041751,0.925878,1.031182,0.940635,1.040577,1.054052,1.052158,1.045866,1.000751,1,1.002567,1.034809,1,1
2020,1.067957,1.167938,0.947032,1.012495,1.041121,1.006381,1.016054,1.015991,0.947016,0.94708,0.989319,1.091767,1.292516,1.023383,1.034222,1.076313,0.996727,1.050763,1.046106,1.00255,1,1.003841,1.034974,1,1
2021,1.065517,1.126248,1.216697,1.047189,1.012343,1.079707,1.057058,1.05708,1.216716,1.216644,0.999214,1.057982,1.792117,1.011965,8.619252,1.073809,1.03007,1.047248,1.047927,1.001796,1,1.002551,1.034869,1,1
2022,1.014347,1.742914,1.047552,1.08083,1.040311,1.076282,1.022527,1.022546,1.047553,1.047566,1.049118,1.042358,0.631565,1.04749,0.152665,1.022138,1.030159,1.048769,1.047573,0.999851,1,1.002545,1.034942,1,1
2023,1.050108,0.653145,1.091056,1.040233,1.004761,1.050035,1.013156,1.013121,1.091037,1.091047,1.026196,1.126711,1.0525,1.085497,0.748857,1.058072,1.030193,1.050822,1.048715,1.000448,1,1.003807,1.034968,1,1
2024,1.046242,0.895528,1.007166,1.025982,1.01407,1.040377,1.0397,1.03963,1.007187,1.007157,1.156028,1.023049,0.932271,1.052921,1.337549,1.054081,1.030334,1.048426,1.051767,0.99776,1,1.002528,1.034951,1,1
2025,1.040442,0.963117,1.020457,1.024892,0.958663,1.038977,1.037682,1.037745,1.020415,1.020444,1.091746,1.02538,0.97747,1.031721,1.154874,1.047914,1.030635,1.046248,1.052213,1.002245,1,1.003783,1.034897,1,1
2026,1.039294,0.987094,1.014705,1.023445,1.014023,1.035978,1.037783,1.037762,1.014711,1.014716,1.098184,1.019802,0.970235,1.030992,1.035291,1.046856,1.030633,1.072236,1,0.999552,1,1.002513,1.034808,1,1
2027,1.037119,0.998822,1.017535,1.021948,1.013312,1.033569,1.03414,1.034138,1.017568,1.017583,1.066606,1.013266,0.993714,1.031791,1.045541,1.044372,1.030788,1,1,1,1,1.002506,1.034863,1,1
2028,1.036799,1.006582,1.023966,1.021812,1.013356,1.033042,1.031594,1.03158,1.023985,1.02393,1.050716,1.021542,1.009158,1.03344,1.043558,1.043967,1.030942,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2029,1.035913,1.010333,1.028149,1.022135,1.013612,1.033365,1.030869,1.030888,1.028085,1.028143,1.03013,1.032091,1.018962,1.033664,1.045739,1.042825,1.031131,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2030,1.036423,1.01018,1.024121,1.022298,1.013855,1.03321,1.030563,1.030595,1.02417,1.024128,1.036979,1.032934,1.024538,1.034401,1.043738,1.043174,1.03133,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2031,1.036362,1.010259,1.024733,1.022377,1.014016,1.032812,1.031233,1.03124,1.024699,1.024734,1.039197,1.032793,1.027842,1.036645,1.038241,1.042951,1.03151,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2032,1.036409,1.009979,1.028,1.022687,1.014306,1.032126,1.032334,1.032295,1.028004,1.027983,1.04014,1.03261,1.029719,1.036435,1.031319,1.042807,1.031644,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2033,1.035793,1.008195,1.02813,1.022484,1.014309,1.031481,1.033961,1.033991,1.028128,1.02811,1.031669,1.03246,1.030798,1.037554,1.028443,1.042009,1.031857,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
2034,1.035385,1.008203,1.02971,1.02246,1.014443,1.030912,1.033294,1.033253,1.029705,1.029722,1.027096,1.032231,1.031308,1.03748,1.029528,1.041408,1.032059,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
YEAR,ATXPY,ASCHF,ABOOK,ACPIU,ACPIM,AWAGE,ASCHCI,ASCHCL,ASCHEI,ASCHEL,AINTS,ADIVS,ACGNS,ASOCSEC,AUCOMP,AIPD,ABENOTHER,ABENMCARE,ABENMCAID,ABENSSI,ABENSNAP,ABENWIC,ABENHOUSING,ABENTANF,ABENVET
2011,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2012,1.043862,0.950283,1.104992,1.0209,1.0365,1.032649,1.049023,0.956138,1.165922,0.926962,0.923588,1.327776,1.58966,1.02827,0.7711,0.9231,0.992359,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2013,1.012518,1.142179,1.033784,1.014791,1.024602,1.019984,0.99505,1.050098,0.997245,1.013128,0.893658,0.819381,0.776217,1.014786,0.728829,0.896219,0.992515,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2014,1.029476,0.931683,0.976566,1.015927,1.023917,1.039999,1.040616,1.030349,1.075978,0.991321,0.925886,1.17606,1.387522,1.004801,0.641103,0.970506,0.99257,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2015,1.043858,0.508206,0.999544,1.001235,1.026485,1.024119,1.038052,1.040061,1.04481,1.057257,1.013311,1.013846,1.004308,1.017188,0.81793,0.988666,1.053858,1.023325,1.041528,1.019361,1.102667,1.007792,1.026748,1.132657,1.04693
2016,1.021978,1.071198,0.984833,1.012621,1.037807,1.006659,0.984484,1.005593,0.982695,0.983807,0.999649,0.968237,0.881651,0.991403,0.933831,1.001764,1.097065,1.011695,1.010367,0.993375,0.989722,1.002577,1.01625,0.828168,1.105413
2017,1.049373,0.907035,1.018491,1.021273,1.025035,1.040577,1.060677,1.132498,1.093477,1.160123,1.088642,1.102389,1.344721,1.00723,0.94186,1.029301,1.011911,1.030968,1.014601,0.981621,1.0,0.998715,1.063959,1.0,1.0
2018,1.042394,0.976786,1.074059,1.0245,1.019707,1.041821,1.042769,1.042713,1.074048,1.074033,1.031272,1.076804,1.074755,1.018778,0.92284,1.050825,1.103035,1.045097,1.045897,1.005738,1.0,1.002574,1.034828,1.0,1.0
2019,1.032351,0.979401,1.019085,1.017913,1.028328,1.039292,1.004274,1.004387,1.019131,1.019122,1.014806,1.041751,0.925878,1.031182,0.940635,1.040577,1.054052,1.052158,1.045866,1.000751,1.0,1.002567,1.034809,1.0,1.0
2020,1.067957,1.167938,0.947032,1.012495,1.041121,1.006381,1.016054,1.015991,0.947016,0.94708,0.989319,1.091767,1.292516,1.023383,1.034222,1.076313,0.996727,1.050763,1.046106,1.00255,1.0,1.003841,1.034974,1.0,1.0
2021,1.065517,1.126248,1.216697,1.047189,1.012343,1.079707,1.057058,1.05708,1.216716,1.216644,0.999214,1.057982,1.792117,1.011965,8.619252,1.073809,1.03007,1.047248,1.047927,1.001796,1.0,1.002551,1.034869,1.0,1.0
2022,1.014347,1.742914,1.047552,1.08083,1.040311,1.076282,1.022527,1.022546,1.047553,1.047566,1.049118,1.042358,0.614105,1.04749,0.152665,1.022138,1.030159,1.048769,1.047573,0.999851,1.0,1.002545,1.034942,1.0,1.0
2023,1.054201,1.03319,0.873178,1.047758,1.004761,1.042139,1.028961,1.028889,0.873183,0.873156,1.174061,1.015964,0.72997,1.085497,0.748857,1.062234,1.030193,1.050822,1.048715,1.000448,1.0,1.003807,1.034968,1.0,1.0
2024,1.05941,0.42431,1.464113,1.021838,1.026755,1.05164,1.07187,1.071889,1.464111,1.464118,0.947213,1.189858,1.43944,1.053068,1.1413,1.067314,1.030334,1.048426,1.051767,0.99776,1.0,1.002528,1.034951,1.0,1.0
2025,1.041632,1.044788,1.018618,1.022303,0.947671,1.04136,1.035487,1.035494,1.018582,1.018598,1.086173,1.050943,1.048825,1.032798,1.267482,1.049137,1.030635,1.046248,1.052213,1.002245,1.0,1.003783,1.034897,1.0,1.0
2026,1.039652,1.070503,1.002596,1.024342,1.01461,1.038574,1.036202,1.036169,1.002606,1.002599,1.039571,1.050521,0.964765,1.029773,1.103105,1.047153,1.030633,1.072236,1.0,0.999552,1.0,1.002513,1.034808,1.0,1.0
2027,1.037063,1.052003,0.996587,1.023148,1.01403,1.034901,1.031166,1.031214,0.996589,0.996617,1.051254,1.034598,0.965869,1.031145,1.045641,1.044347,1.030788,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.002506,1.034863,1.0,1.0
2028,1.038667,1.042616,0.991454,1.022624,1.013836,1.03508,1.028193,1.028202,0.991435,0.991416,1.075829,1.0298,0.993501,1.03359,1.039205,1.045808,1.030942,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2029,1.037699,1.036497,0.999548,1.022385,1.013791,1.034165,1.026764,1.026741,0.999601,0.999612,1.066552,1.033877,1.012343,1.033618,1.031439,1.044636,1.031131,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2030,1.036237,1.033133,1.019395,1.022535,1.014029,1.032912,1.026209,1.02622,1.019337,1.019325,1.054094,1.033561,1.021054,1.034257,1.032431,1.043062,1.03133,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2031,1.034778,1.028007,1.036394,1.022226,1.013974,1.032526,1.027023,1.027016,1.036391,1.036427,1.050305,1.032957,1.025966,1.036614,1.033538,1.041284,1.03151,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2032,1.034722,1.023557,1.040127,1.022601,1.014264,1.032264,1.028726,1.02875,1.040116,1.040091,1.048447,1.032441,1.02936,1.036625,1.032221,1.041179,1.031644,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2033,1.034484,1.019571,1.037226,1.022401,1.014267,1.0318,1.031493,1.031499,1.037269,1.037279,1.039731,1.032168,1.0306,1.035799,1.029666,1.040669,1.031857,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2034,1.034773,1.01914,1.034899,1.022378,1.014402,1.032079,1.032644,1.032601,1.034904,1.034873,1.044366,1.03208,1.031022,1.035722,1.028596,1.040776,1.032059,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2035,1.035282,1.015356,1.034959,1.022404,1.014461,1.032062,1.032005,1.03198,1.034948,1.034965,1.041311,1.031909,1.031458,1.034008,1.029682,1.041135,1.032203,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion taxcalc/policy.py
View file
Open in desktop
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -42,7 +42,7 @@ class instance: Policy
JSON_START_YEAR = 2013 # remains the same unless earlier data added
LAST_KNOWN_YEAR = 2025 # last year for which indexed param vals are known
# should increase LAST_KNOWN_YEAR by one every calendar year
LAST_BUDGET_YEAR = 2034 # default value of last extrapolation year
LAST_BUDGET_YEAR = 2035 # default value of last extrapolation year
# should increase LAST_BUDGET_YEAR by one every calendar year

@staticmethod
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